LINE: Los Perros Locos -4
Last week, Do Not Panic scored 137 points. Not their highest score of the season, but certainly enough to win the lion's share of matchups. Los Perros, on the other hand, scored only 95. Through three weeks of play, Panic is outscoring Los Perros by more than 32 pts/gm, on average. It's also worth noting that Do Not Panic's roster features four players ranked in the top 3 at their position. Los Perros Locos have none. So, let me get this straight, you're gonna give me points to take a Panic team that has clearly played better and they're starting Tom Brady in a visit to New England?!? Pfffft. Done.
COMMISH'S PICK: Do Not Panic
LINE: Baby Got Dak -10
Move along, folks. There's nothing to see here.
COMMISH'S PICK: Baby Got Dak
LINE: Golden Tate Warriors -3
This matchup looks like it could be one of the highest scoring contests this week if you were to just focus on the ESPN projections. However, history suggests otherwise. In seven games at Little China, the average final score has been 100.71 - 94.86, with the Chops holding the advantage. What's also a bit surprising to me is that Tate is favored despite only winning two of those seven games. I think Golden Tate's lineup has the potential to put up points this week with some very favorable matchups, but the key to victory will be if they can slow down the Chop's RB tandem of Chubb and Hunt. And in doing that, they can't forget about Mike Evans who is in line to get some love from Brady this week. Meh, what the hell...go ahead and put me down for Golden Tate.
COMMISH'S PICK: Golden Tate Warriors
LINE: Chief Sticky Balls -6
Until last week, the Balls had not outscored the Bounty Hunters who average 13 points more per week. But if there's one team that the Balls like to play, even on the road, it's the Hunters. In eight games against the Hunters, the Balls average 114.63 pts/game, more than they do against any other team except Thundabuddies. And in five games where they were the visiting team, the average final score has been 105.2 - 92.8 in favor of the Balls. If you ask me, there's plenty of talent on Chief Sticky Balls' roster and they finally got a little taste of success last week when they scored 117. I like their player matchups and I wouldn't be surprised to see them finish with the highest score this week.
COMMISH'S PICK: Chief Sticky Balls
LINE: Who Is You -8
Since their 160-point opening week, it's been all downhill for McMingle. The scored 96 in week 2 and 63 in week 3. If you follow that trend line through this week, they should end up around 47 points. That's not good. And, they're heading into the defending champs backyard this week...without McCaffrey. In their two previous visits to What Are They field, McMingle has been held in check. In fact, of all the teams and places they play, visiting You yields their lowest average score, 85.5 pts/gm. On the other hand, while Who Is You is 2-0 at home against McMingle, they're also not known for putting up massive numbers in those games, averaging 98 pts/gm. It's not likely that You will set any scoring records this week, but they'll still come away with the win.
COMMISH'S PICK: Who Is You
LINE: Jergoff Passout -3
The only way this game could disappoint is if we don't get to see the level of scoring these two are capable of. Although they each have a loss already, they're not easy to beat. Through the first 3 weeks, Passout's lowest score is 108 points and Thundabuddies' is 114, which puts them at top of the list for highest low score. When I look over their rosters, I can really only see one point of weakness on either side. For Thundabuddies, it's a question of whether or not their D/ST can contain Tom Brady. For Passout, Kyler Murray's play against the Rams will be the greatest uncertainty. To me, it really comes down to how well these two do compared to their projections. Either way, there's a wealth of scoring talent which should make this game a high-scoring, battle royale. When you see a matchup like this, experience matters. I'll go with veteran leadership.
COMMISH'S PICK: Thundabuddies
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